Tuesday, June 19, 2007

Week Eleven Scariness Rating

This has been a trying weekend for me. RSL dropped two games that they really had no business losing, and have forced me to EmbraTSu (Embrace The Suckiness). I won’t be one of the fans wearing a brown paper sack on Saturday, but only because I won’t be there. I also spent the weekend being sick … basically not fun at all.

The Adjusted Scariness ratings flopped around a lot (especially if you look at them over two weeks—Toronto went from 5th to 9th to 3rd). I think Salt Lake’s rating is too high. I’m also not sure about Chivas and Toronto being rated so highly (though I wouldn’t want to play either team right now).

Team Adj Scariness Rating (Last Week) Change Over Two Weeks
Chivas 3.51 1 (2) +3
DC United 3.4 2 (1) +2
Toronto 3.07 3 (9) +2
Houston 2.73 4 (4) +2
Kansas City 2.47 5 (3) - 4
New York 1.48 6 (5) - 4
Los Angeles 1.27 7 (12) +3
New England 1.05 8 (7) 0
Dallas 0.51 9 (6) +3
Columbus 0.47 10 (13) +3
Salt Lake 0.38 11 (8) - 2
Chicago 0.36 12 (11) - 1
Colorado 0.22 13 (10) - 5

I’m also going to include a table of the old style scariness score for each team. I think this shows the effect that ties (and lopsided wins) have in this system.

Team Scariness Rating (Adj Rating)
DC United 2.6 1 (2)
Chivas 2.47 2 (1)
Houston 2.2 3 (4)
Kansas City 1.78 4 (5)
Toronto 1.62 5 (3)
Dallas 1.33 6 (9)
New England 1.33 6 (8)
New York 1.22 8 (6)
Los Angeles 1.18 9 (7)
Chicago 0.76 10 (12)
Colorado 0.58 11 (13)
Columbus 0.44 12 (10)
Salt Lake 0.36 13 (11)

Given RSL’s continued poor showing and my proximity to a pretty good PDL team, I may have to put in the effort to whip up scariness scores for the PDL Northwest going forward.

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